Goodreads full comments
"This way Mr. President"
"I know the way, I was Vice-President for eight years you know."
"Yes, Sir, Sorry Sir"
"Why are all these ramps here?"
"Disability access ramps, Sir"
"I know what they are why are they here?"
"Your predecessor stated you may need them given your advancing years and so on."
Spoken louder "YOUR PREDECESSOR.."
"Why are you shouting?"
"You mean Trump."
"We're not allowed to say his name Sir, we had instructions from Vice President, I mean former Vice President Pence, to not allow his name to be mentioned."
"Why were you shouting?"
"We were told you may be hard of hearing due to your ...."
"I'm not hard of hearing and I'm not in a wheelchair"
"But you are older than..."
"Enough!" They enter the famous room. "At last the Oval office."
"We decorated as you wished Sir, the busts and pictures have been changed - caused quite some commotion with your prede.."
Scowl from new President
"... I mean President Trump as he had some other busts he wanted to keep."
"Best we don't go into that."
"No Sir, his letter is on the desk."
"The one with the postmark from Moscow."
"Yes Sir, special delivery."
The President sits behind the desk and surveys the Oval Office. He scans the room with a small smile of satisfaction on his face, before his vision alights on a board on one wall.
"For you Sir to help."
"Isn't that a picture of my wife?"
"Yes Sir, in case you forget."
How dare you! I know who my wife is"
"At the moment Sir, this is in case it gets worse."
"What gets worse?"
"Your dementia, Sir"
"Have you forgotten already?"
"I do not have Dementia!"
"Damn my predecessor!" Takes deep breath. "Who's the Black Lady in the photo's"
"Your VP Sir."
"I have a black female VP?"
"Yes Sir, don't you remember you were elected with her."
"The one on the capital steps?"
"Yes Sir at the inauguration."
"Didn't recognise her without her mask. Where is she?"
"Managing the Senate and drawing up your first executive orders. They should be here later this morning. She sent instructions to make sure you have your afternoon nap and I have to disconnect the hot line."
"The Moscow hot line?"
"No, Sir the Deliveroo and MacDonald fast order hotline. We missed it during your prede… Mr Trumps departure. It's that one next to the pictures of all your staff."
The President attempts to change the TV Channel"What's wrong with this TV I can't change the channel from Fox?"
"All the other channels were disabled Sir."
"And get rid of this" He pulls a book from a drawer
"What is it?"
"The Dummies Guide to Tweeting…."
@realDonaldTrump Goodreads full comments
@realDonaldTrump Goodreads full comments
I have been struggling to decide whether to blog on this subject since January. Now that much of the globe is in some type of lock down, quarantine or ignorance it seems more necessary. Not that my viewpoint is any better than many other posts. There has been an extensive misinformation or misunderstanding of statistics not helped by the media. There attitude at last seems to be changing to better reporting rather than the fear they like to envisage.
Lets start with some basic facts
World Population as at 2015 (census dependent) 7.35 Billion that is 7,350,000,000 with forecast to be over 7.7 by 2020
Actual confirmed deaths 18:35 on 20th March 2020 due to virus according to WHO as listed on https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ 11,188
Actual confirmed mortality rate is therefore 11,200 divided by 7.35 billion which is
Because the population is likely to be higher than last full statistics the rate is actually lower on confirmed death cases.
So where the scare stories of 1% or 20% and any number in between come from is unclear. As a comparison TB caused 3 million deaths in 2016. Clearly this horrible virus spreads and kills and the deaths are tragic but dying from TB is still dying.
The 1% or higher numbers are actually an infected mortality rate. i.e. this requires a confirmed case and death assigned to COVID-19. Both numbers used for this are equally dodgy. The number of deaths is probably an underestimate e.g. deaths that are caused by it but not medically linked. However the likely cases are a massive underestimate. Now we need to look at subsets of subsets of data, none of which are without error.
We start with World’s population 7.5 billion and work down from same source
- immune not a carrier – unknown
- carrier no symptoms – unknown
- carrier minimal symptoms 166,000
- Carrier medium symptoms – hospital 159,000
- Carrier serious/critical – ICU – hospital 8,000
- Death 11,200
As a comparator the UK has 660,000 deaths each year in population of 65 million and UK has had 177 deaths assigned to COVID-19 although all are reported as with underlying conditions
A sense of perspective is needed
@realDonaldTrump "Vlad, how are you? We haven't chatted in ages. Why are you laughing?" "Ha, Ha, Ha, Oh Don, Don, Don my friend you are so funny." "Why? What have I done?" "Your Tweets of course. Your ability to spread disbelief and confusion are second to none. Even Xi is impressed. Bashar is getting one of his universities to start teaching it. And Erdoğan is especially impressed." "He wanted me to withdraw." "So, did I." "Well I have." "Yes a huge success for us." "I'm protecting American lives." "Of course you are. Anyway about your impeachment." "Fake news!" "This is me Vlad, not some journalist.' "Sorry." "A word of advice?" "What?" "Cut down the number of people listening to your phone calls." "Why?" "They take records." "Wrong records." "We have the tapes." "I dispute them." "Good that's the right approach. Now, have you seen the new list." "Which list? You send so many?" "The list for National Security Advisor and Secretary of State." "I haven't sacked them yet." "Not this month. Anyway keep the Ukraine angle going as long as possible and ignore all those security briefings." "I am. How are the election plans going." "You don't need to know but our advertising budget is doing well. We've ben actively supporting some Democrats." "Why?" "So you can claim interference once they finally decide which id... which candidate to stand against you." "But won't that help them." "Only to get Hilary back in the game, I thought you wanted that?" "Biden may be bigger issue." "Don't worry about him, we have some more Son stories to leak." "Good." "Do you have the interview answers for your next UK interview." "Why another UK one?" "They are having another election." "I thought that was Israel, Bennie asked for my support." "We may have to let Ben go." "Why?" "Haven't you seen the news. He may get locked up." "But I haven't asked for that." "Has anyone you wanted to be locked up actually been locked up?" "No." "Has anyone you didn't want locked up been locked up?" "Yes." "You really need to get a grip on the legal system there. I thought Ruddi was working on that." "He's got bogged down in Ukraine." "I know how he feels."
Some things that won’t be promised by the main parties in the election
- Reduction in MPs from 650 to 500 with attendant boundary changes
- MPs deselected that do not take up seats e.g. NI parties that don’t
- Proportional representation introduction outside NI – mentioned in Lib Dems last time but not by main parties
- Lords reform to voted for chamber (power away from House of Commons)
- Fixed term limits for Prime Minister or MPs e.g. See Costa Rica 4 years for President 8 years for MP equivalent
- Tax take must equal or be more than government spend and borrowing cost – no deficit increase
- Any hope that any manifesto might get implemented with thought for unintended consequences – see 6 for spending commitments
- Understanding by any MP of unintended consequences see 6 and 7
- Understanding by any political party that it takes years to train doctors, nurses, teachers therefore you cannot magic more in a couple of years unless imported from abroad thus denying other countries’ their health/teaching
- That Donald Trump has no vote in UK Election nor does any other foreign politician (including EU). Their opinions are irrelevant and should be ignored especially tweets
- If you don’t vote for who you want to represent you do not complain when someone else is elected – introduce compulsory voting
- Challenge those who are asking for your vote how they will vote on the issues. Sue them for breach of contract if they don’t!
Wonderful tour of Costa Rican rain forests
Pictures are here
The never-ending debate on Brexit continues to polarise opinion with now the new PM adding to the fray. His request to the Queen to prorogue the UK Parliament has been treated with varying degrees of support or hostility based entirely on the already dived opinion line of Remain or leave. I wish the Remain camp would stop arguing their opposition is against no deal when they voted against a deal negotiated with 27 other countries. At least the Lib Dems are honest enough to admit that.
My concern is in the so called impartiality of figures who should know better and yet claim precedent or lack of it. But I’ll start with the BBC coverage and one headline in particular.
Yesterday BBC news and web site reported the following
“Pound Falls” is the less of a headline than BBC news which headlined at 18:00 “Pound crashes” on news. The web sites now has volatile rather than crashes. So what has happened to the pound this month – think I may have mentioned this before
No headline at all about the pound’s rise against the dollar in particular since the 6th August but a half cent drop on one day is a crash. What happened on the 6th? Not a lot as far as can tell. Personally it looks great as I’ve just had to buy some dollars for a forthcoming trip and I’ve had a better rate this week than last. When I heard crash I was worried my next purchase would be harder, but the headline means it must be not that I’m better buyting this week than I was at the start of the month – a real transaction by the way.
Really BBC – must do better
Now to the meat of the subject – sorry vegans the main point then… The word unprecedented.(dict’ definition never having happened or existed in the past
As in the Prorogation of Parliament is unprecedented or sometimes with the caveat of in recent history with no definition of recent which given nearly 1,000 years of Parliament is hard to judge.
Prorogue of parliament
This is the amount of time for a parliamentary session i.e. the current session being prorogued is quite long and the longest since the World War II
The next use of unprecedented refers to the length of time Parliament is Prorogued in this case 23 days. If we caveat with recent. Then the longest most recent was 1997 for 19 days. There have been much longer periods in history Elizabeth 1st the first had no sitting parliament for over 3 years. 23 days is not unprecedented. Many governments even since universal adult suffrage from 1928 (after the equalisation of the voting ages for men and women) have used various trick to get their plans through. This has included doing the opposite of now i.e. Prorogation and adding an additional session to prevent House of Lords interference (Labour 1948 to allow nationalisation of Iron and Steel without Lords amendment) or as in the case of 1997, to prevent difficult questions in the House of Commons – The cash For Question Scandal. In both cases the government did not resign nor was there an election. After the break there was a new Queen’s Speech and a new Parliamentary session as is proposed to start on 13th October which I believe is still before 31st October and therefore MPs still have time to pass or amend legislation.
the lack of historical context despite our long history continues to be troubling. The NOW generation infects our media reporting. We see this is numerous ways from sports results ignoring decades of previous results just because a competition name changed to the use of the word democracy but only when applied to the speaker’s narrow definition of the vote they mean. i.e Johnson is undemocratic because he replace May whereas Brown replacing Blair was democratic neither were unprecedented or undemocratic. they are the rules we have lived by for centuries.
In the case of Brexit the UK Sovereign Parliament voted to leave the EU (without a deal) on 1st Feb 2017 as the European Union Bill, supported by the Labour leadership, by 498 votes to 114. This remains the default legal position. Since then the same Parliament has rejected 3 times the negotiated deal and merely passed a delaying law now to 31st Oct or rather a delay requesting the EU to grant an extension.
But let’s not let facts get in the way of a good story